Devin Haney remains a slight favorite going into tonight’s fight with George Kambosos Jr, even though Haney is the road fighter in Melbourne, Australia, and even though Kambosos has earned the right to be called the division’s top dog.
Lines have narrowed just a bit over the last week or so, but really not by much.
As of this moment, DraftKings Sportsbook have Haney favored at -170 on the moneyline, with Kambosos at +140.
Haney (27-0, 15 KO) is far, far away from home, but father and trainer Bill Haney has received a late visa and will be there in time for the fight after all, which may put him somewhat more at ease; his dad’s been there for all 27 of his pro fights so far, and this will be No. 28.
There was some drama on the scales Friday, with Kambosos (20-0, 10 KO) initially missing weight, then coming back about halfway into his two-hour window and making it with room to spare.
My personal opinion is fans sometimes read too much into these things. Kambosos did look dry, but he will have had plenty of time to rehydrate. He wasn’t out there ralphing in a bucket like Miguel Berchelt before weighing in to fight Oscar Valdez, and he didn’t shed every drop from his body and still fail to make weight.
The lines didn’t move any after the weigh-in, either.
Even though Kambosos is the underdog, it’s not by much, and a far sight from him being around +500 at best when the lines closed for his fight with Teofimo Lopez last November. He’s clearly earned a level of respect from that win, and there’s far fewer people truly doubting him — and rightly so.
This is also easily the closest line of Haney’s career to date, as he’s generally been a pretty overwhelming favorite. In his most relevant matchups, wins over Jorge Linares and JoJo Diaz, he was a far heavier favorite when the lines got to the end before fight night.
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The favored method of victory is Haney by decision or technical decision, which is even money right now at +100. Haney by KO/TKO/DQ is +500, while Kambosos is +240 to win by decision or technical decision and +550 to win by KO/TKO/DQ.
Any specific round bet for a stoppage presents big money opportunities. Haney’s longest odds are in the first two rounds, which are both +10000 for him, while rounds seven, eight, and nine are all at +4000.
Rounds one and two are also +10000 for Kambosos, so nobody’s expecting an early stoppage here, but he has +3500 odds for rounds eight, nine, and 10.
